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The analysis and forecasts featured in this piece can be found in EIU’s Country Analysis service.

In the second quarter of 2023, real GDP in the euro zone grew by 0.3% on a quarterly basis—the sharpest expansion since the second quarter of 2022—and by 0.6% on an annual basis, according to flash estimates. This followed quarterly growth of 0.1% in the first quarter. .

ECB likely to pause rate rises

The analysis and forecasts featured in this piece can be found in EIU’s Country Analysis service. .

Auditor reveals over-reporting of Nigeria’s foreign reserves

Nigeria’s foreign-exchange reserves, officially reported as equivalent to 7.8 months of imports, are an important cushion against external payment risks..

Growth in Latin America will soften in the second half of 2023

Latin America’s six largest economies have put in mixed performances in terms of GDP growth this year. Brazil and Mexico have proven more resilient to high inflation and interest rates than we had initially expected, the former buoyed by a bumper harvest and the latter by stronger than expected US demand for its exports. However, Argentina, Chile, Colombia and Peru have all fared worse, reflecting a drought-related hit to agriculture (Argentina) and to mining (Chile), as well as political difficulties. Political instability will continue to weigh on Peru’s outlook, as localised protests will affect mining operations. .

Weak demand for goods exports weighs on Thailand’s growth

deliver GDP growth in the range of 3‑4% in the second half of 2023 and about 4% in 2024. The strengthening domestic demand will keep the central bank cautious..

Global Outlook: is critical mineral diversification possible?

In EIU’s latest Global Outlook video, director of forecasting and economics, Tom Rafferty, and senior analyst, Cody Feldman, discuss global critical mineral diversification efforts, notably the role of China and areas of opportunity for other countries..

More bricks in the wall will make it bigger but less sturdy

On August 24th in South Africa, the annual summit of the BRICS group (comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) accepted applications from six other countries—Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE—to become full members on January 1st 2024..

Sustainability disclosure requirements are tightening

The regulatory disclosure of ESG information has accelerated in the first half of 2023 as organisations and governments propose and adopt internationally aligned regulations..

The road to the hydrogen economy is plagued with potholes

Hydrogen is a key technology for achieving climate change goals and many governments are rushing to boost production capacity, setting ambitious targets..

Germany’s economy records a third quarter without growth

Second-quarter real GDP stagnated on a quarterly basis, following mild contractions in the previous two quarters. Household consumption stabilised after declining over the 2022/23 winter, while net exports were a modest drag on growth..

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